Updated 5/11/24 at 6:10 p.m. AST
VI SOURCE WEATHER UPDATES
! An unstable weather pattern may continue through the weekend, with scattered showers and thunderstorms. The ground is saturated, and additional rain could lead to flash flooding.
! A NEW Weekly Weather Update Video is available here!
! Read more about National Hurricane Preparedness Week 2024 here!
! A “Solar Storm” is occurring this weekend. Read more here.
Article: Colorado State University Predicts Extremely Active 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Article: La Niña Weather Pattern May Spawn an Active 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Series: “Extreme Weather in the Caribbean”
- Part 1: Caribbean Earthquakes and Tsunamis
- Part 2: Caribbean Volcanoes
- Part 3: Rip Currents
- Part 4: Hurricanes
- Part 5: Wildfires
- Part 6: Flash Floods
- An article about earthquakes in the Caribbean is available here!
- An informational video about drought conditions in the USVI is available here!
SUNDAY’S WEATHER FORECAST: 5/12/24
Happy Sunday!
According to the National Weather Service (NWS) in San Juan, Puerto Rico, Sunday will be mostly sunny, with scattered showers and possibly thunderstorms. The high temperature will be approximately 87°F, 30.5°C, with winds out of the southeast at about 10 to 13 mph. The chance of rain on Sunday is approximately 30% as an unsettled weather pattern continues. Please remember that the ground is very saturated; additional rain could lead to flash flooding.
Sunday night will be partly cloudy, with isolated showers. The low temperature will be approximately 77°F, 25°C, with winds out of the east at about 10 mph. The possibility of rain on Sunday night is approximately 20%.
Weather conditions are expected to improve as an area of low pressure moves away from the region. However, Saharan dust may be prevalent over the next few days and through next week.
Below: Infrared satellite imagery obtained at 5:40 p.m. AST on Saturday indicates a partly cloudy sky around the USVI and Puerto Rico. Additional rainfall and thunderstorms are possible.
MARINE WEATHER UPDATE
A northeasterly swell is expected to continue to fade gradually. However, gusty winds and possible thunderstorms may generate some wind-driven, choppy seas.
On Sunday, the seas will be approximately 2 feet. Winds will be out of the southeast at about 5 to 10 knots.
On Sunday night, the seas will be approximately 1 foot or less. Winds will be out of the east at about 5 to 10 knots.
The water temperature is approximately 84-85°F, approximately 29°C.
Ocean Water Temperature Map from 5/10/24, courtesy of NOAA:
Wave Height Forecast Map courtesy of NWS:
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
Rip Currents: The risk of rip currents is projected to be low across most of the region on Sunday.
Clear = Low Rip Current Risk
Yellow = Moderate Rip Current Risk
Red = High Rip Current Risk
Learn more about rip current safety in an interview between the NWS and the VI Source here.
TROPIC WATCH
Tropical Activity: The National Hurricane Center does not expect any cyclonic development over the next seven days.
A possible La Niña Weather Pattern May Spawn an Active 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Read more here. Additionally, Colorado State University Predicts Extremely Active 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
Click here to learn tips on being prepared for the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
Days Until 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season: 20 Days
OBSERVATIONS
Sunrise: 5:48 a.m.
Sunset: 6:45 p.m.
Ocean water temperature: Approximately 84-85°F, approximately 29°C.
UV index: 10 out of 10 (VERY HIGH)
Saturday’s high temperature: 87°F, 30.5°C
Saturday’s low temperature: 81°F, 27.2°C
Preparation for extreme weather events in the Caribbean, such as earthquakes and tropical cyclones, is important. Residents and visitors in the USVI are encouraged to stay updated on weather events on the V.I. Source Weather page and sign up for alerts from the National Weather Service and the Virgin Islands Territorial Emergency Management Agency.
