After spending Monday swirling around in the Atlantic Ocean on the cusp of becoming a depression, the National Hurricane Center issued an advisory on Tropical Depression 14 at its 11 a.m. Tuesday update.
Unless it dramatically alters course, it should pose no problem other than northeast swells starting Friday for the territory.
“It looks pretty safe,” said meteorologist Brian Seeley at the National Weather Service in San Juan.
As things currently stand, the depression should pass about 800 miles northeast of St. John at around 8 p.m. Thursday as Tropical Storm Nadine. Seeley said it will be transitioning from a tropical storm into a hurricane at that point.
Seeley said around 4 p.m. that it looked like Tropical Depression 14 would get a name Tuesday night, but that hadn’t happened by the 8 p.m. update. However, the National Hurricane Center advisory said it still could happen later Tuesday.
At the 5 p.m. update from the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Depression 14 had winds of 35 mph.
While the depression had been moving west, at the 5 p.m. update forecasters said it had started a turn to the northwest and continued moving northwest at 12 mph.
The depression was centered at 17.5 degrees north latitude and 43.8 degrees west longitude, which puts it about 1,170 miles from the Leeward Islands.
The barometric pressure stands at 1006 millibars or 29.71 inches.
The depression formed just one day after the Sept. 10 climatological peak of hurricane season. The official hurricane season runs until Nov. 30, and Seeley urged residents to keep their eyes on the weather particularly throughout September.
Two of the most destructive hurricanes in the territory’s recent history happened in September. Sept. 15 and 16 marks the 1995 passage of Hurricane Marilyn. Hurricane Hugo hit on Sept. 17 and 18, 1989.
As for what’s ahead, Seeley said there’s a tropical wave way out in the Atlantic near the Cape Verde Islands that bears watching, but he said it appears that it might follow Nadine to the northwest.